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philophical transactions of the royal ciety b, june 24, 2013

doi: 101098/rstb20120137

fond, f, et al “hoell do experience curves predict technological progress? a ant research 2017arxiv/pdf/170305979pdf

rn, heidi j, et al “the state of vae nfidence 2016: global sights through a 67-untry survey” ebiodice 12 (october 2016): 295–301

posted septeapio/xvaf

li ndgren, historic tiapio/histdata

li vi-bai, e 22

aiden, a: bckwell, 1989

lo zano, rafael, krycia wlg, eakidou, and chrisher j l urray “creased educational attant and its effect on child ortality 175 untries beeen 1970 and 2009: a systeatic analysis” ncet 376, no 9745 (septeber 2010): 959–74 doi: 101016/s0140-6736(10)61257-3

gapio/xedux

dp per capita estiates, via clio fra updated by jutta bolt and jan iten van zanden, et al aessed deceber 3, 2017

a ddin[2] addin project via clio fra filipa ribeiro da silva’s version revised by jonathan fk-jensen, updated april 29, 2015

n & pia o’s parents

cevedy, l, and richard jones ats of world popution history new york: facts on file, 1978 as cited -cps gapio/x-pophist

self-ntrol new york: little, brown, 2014

ic trades “the annual cens of the ic dtries” 2016

yrskyl&228;, , h p kohler, and f bilri “advances developnt reverse fertility decles” nature 460, no 6 (2009): 741–43 doi: 101038/nature08230

national bioraanochlore pesticides overview gapio/xpes

na tional police ancy of japan dae situation and police unterasures asciated with 2011 tohoku district off the pacific ocean earthake septeency disaster unterasures headarters

gapio/xjapan

nci[1] (national cancer stitute) “trends retive survival rates for all childhood cancers, a 20, all races, both sexes seer (9 areas), 1975–94” figure 10, p 9, l a g ries, a s children and adolescents: united states seer prograraapio/xs17

nci[2] childhood cancer rates calcuted g the cidence seer18 research database, noveber 2016 subission (katra/rita popution adjtnt)

nhtsa (national highway traffic safety ad fro the traffic safety facts, 2016 data” table 1 october 2017

gapio/xalc

nobel prize physiology or apio/xnob

nov[1] polls for gapapio/pnov17a

nov[2] polls for gapapio/polls17b

nov[3] polls for gapder sweden, april 2017; a, noveepanel; the uk, by natcen gapio/pollnov17bnov-17b

nuclear notebook kristensen, hans , and robert s norris “the bullet of the atoic scientists’ nuclear notebook” federation of arican scientists

odi (overseas developreenhill, ro the future: how ternational public fance should fund a global cial pact to eradicate poverty” odi, 2015gapio/xodi

oec sio “the enoic plexity observatory: an analytical tool for understandg the dynaics of enoic developnt” workshops at the enty-fifth aaai nference on artificial tellince, 2011 trade hs92 category 9202

strg struapio/xoec17 the enoic plexity observatory

oecd[1] (anisation for eno the united states high?” chart 4: health spendg per capita by category of care, and selected oecd untries, 2009 health at a gnce 2011: oecd dicators gapio/x-health

oecd[2] air and ghg eapio/xoecd2

oecd[3] “dicators of iration 2015” oecd and european union, july 2, 2015 gapr

ohdb (oral health database) who lboratg centre for education, trag and research at the faculty of odontology, raata university, japan

op penheiraphy, vol

34, no 4, 1997, pp 443-54 gapio/xferttra

os troe university press, 1990

ourworlddata[1] roser, lobal poverty: share of people livg extrelobal extre aessed noveber 20, 2017

ourworlddata[2] roser, rog europe?” published onle at ourworlddata aessed noveber 20, 2017

ou rworlddata[3] roser, ax, and esteban ortiz-ospa “child bor” 2017 published onle at ourworlddata aessed nove/child-bor

ourworlddata[4] roser, de aessed noveber 26, 2017

ourworlddata[5] roser, ical evidence on violent deaths” published onle at ourworlddata aessed noveber 26, 2017

ourworlddata[6] roser, dy “nuclear weapons test” 2017 published onle at ourworlddata aessed noveber 14, 2017

ourworlddata[7] nureents based on unctad united nations treaty llection published onle at ourworlddata

ourworlddata[8] tzvetkova, sandra “not all deaths are eal: how any deaths ake a natural disaster neorthy?” published onle at ourworlddata aessed july 19, 2017

ourworlddata[9] ritchie, hannah and y urces”, based on fond et al (2017) published onle at ourworlddata aessed deceber 19, 2017 ourworlddata

/energy-production-and-changg-energy-urces/

ourworlddata[10] roser,

pae, r r, and j l boldsen “lkg a-at-death distributions and ancient popution dynae distributions fro skeletal sae, uk: cae university press

paulos, john allen nuracy: u, 1988

pdna govern ission nepal earthake2015: post disaster needs assessapio/xnep

perry, ark j “sat test results nfirh school boys are better at , aapio/at

pew[1] “japanese wary of nuclear energy” pew research center, global attitudes and trends, june 5, 2012 gapio/xpewnuc

pew[2] “religio position by untry, 2010–2050” pew research center, religion & public life, april 2, 2015 (table) gapio/xpewrel1

pew[3] “the future of world religions: popution growth projections, 2010–2050” pew research center, religion & public life, april 2, 2015 gapio/xpewrel2

pker, steven the better anls of our nature: the decle of violence history and its caes london: pengu, 2011

—— the bnk ste: the u, 2002

—— how the d works new york: norton, 1997

—— the stuff of thought new york: vikg, 2007

ptt, john r “big neild tir poputions are creasg for the first ti a century” scientific arican, april 10, 2016

povcal “an onle analysis tool for global poverty ” founded by art ravallion, at the world bank aessed noveber 30, 2017

prio “the battle deaths dataset version 31” updated 2006; 1946–2008

see gleditsch and ca (2005), aessed noveapio/xpriod

étel, cude history of syphilis trans judith braddock and brian pike caapio/yph

ra upach a ota on cue 4 (2014): 873–79 doi: 101038/ncliapio/xcar

ro slg, hans “the best stats you’ve ever seen” ted video, 19:50 filapio/xtedros

—— “hans roslg at world bank: open data” world bank video, 41:54

filapio/xwbros

—— “the ache” tedwoapio/tedroswa

roslg, hans, yngve hofvander, and ul-britt lithell “children’s death and popution growth” ncet 339 (february 8, 1992): 377–78

royal ciety of london philophical transactions of the royal ciety of london 155 vols london, 1665–1865 gapio/xroys1665

sarkees, redith reid, and frank wayan rert to war: 1816–2007

washgton dc: cq press, 2010 gapio/xw17

scb (statistiska centralbyr&229;n) systeapio/cb2

schultz, t paul “why governirls” world developnt 30, no 2 (2002): 207–25

sdl “svery doistion”, a database by jean al and dr arie lynch at een’s university, belfast

sen, peter anization new york: doubleday, 1990

sheng, yu, et al “study on the ncept of per capita cuutive ee research 2, no 2 (june 25, 2011): 79–85 gapio/xcli11

sipri (stockhol ternational peace research stitute) trends world nuclear forces, 2017 kile, shannon n and hans apio/ipri17

slobal and national perspectives 2nd ed

santa barbara, ca: praer, 2016 gapio/ilen

—— global catastrophes and trends: the next fifty years caapio/ilcat

spotify web api

stockhol of the ternational dialogue on peacebuildg and statebuildg, 2016

sundberg, ralph and erik eoreferenced event dataset”, journal of peace research, vol 50, no 4, (2013): 523-32

su nd, jan, christer hogstedt, jakob ldberg, and henrik svenska folkets h&228;lsa i historiskt perspektiv barnh&228;lsans historia, pa 122 lna, sweden: statens folkh&228;lstitut, 2005 gapio/fhi5

tanigawa, koichi, et al “loss of life after evacuation: lesns learned fro the fukhiapio/xfuk

tavris, carol, and elliot aronn istakes were ade (but not by ): e jtify foolish beliefs, bad decisions, and hurtful acts new york: harurt, 2007

tetlock, pe, and d gardner superforecastg: the art and science of prediction new york: crown, 2015

the enoh seas” enoist, february 22, 2014

gapio/xensea

the enoence unit” aessed deceapio/xedei

tyllesk&228;r, thorkild “konzo—the walk of the cha dr jean-pierre banea-ayabu (head of pronanut), dr desire tsha-katuy clic at the centre neuropsychopathologie, pp, kshasa), and students nutrition at uppsa university, sweden, 1995 gapio/xvkonzo

ucdp[1] (uppsa nflict data progra) battle-reted deaths dataset, 1989 to 2016, dyadic, version 171 see alnsn et al (2017)

ucdp[2] uppsa nflict data progralobal version 171 (2016), see sundberg et al (2013) departnt of peace and nflict research, uppsa university,

un trade

un statistics division “developg regions” aessed deceapio/xunsdef

un -igroup for child ortality estiation) “child ortality estiates” st odified october 19, 2017

child

un-pop[1] (un popution division) popution, diu fertility variant world popution prospects 2017 united nations, departnt of enoic and cial affairs, popution division

un-pop[2] annual a position of world popution, diu fertility variant world popution prospects 2017 un popution division

un-pop[3] dicators: life expectancy and total fertility rate (diu fertility variant) world popution prospects 2017 un popution division aessed septeber 2, 2017

un-pop[4] annual popution by a—feale, diu fertility variant world popution prospects 2017 un popution division aessed novee

un-pop[5] world popution probabilistic projections aessed noveapio/xpopproj

un-pop[6] “the irowth” popution facts no 2017/4 (october, 2017): 1–2 gapio/xpopfut

un-pop[7] andreev, k, v kantorová, and j bongaarts “derowth” technical paper no 2013/3 united nations desa popution division, 2013 gapio/xpopfut2

un-pop[8] deaths (both sexes bed), diu fertility variant world popution prospects 2017 un popution division aessed deceapio/xpopdeath

un-pop[9] world ntraceptive e 2017 world popution prospects 2017

un popution division, apio/xntr

unaids “aids” aessed october 4, 2017

undesa (united nations departnt of enoic and cial affairs)

“electricity and education: the benefits, barriers, and re the electrification of priapio/xdessel

unep[1] (united nations environra) towards a poltion-free p nairobi: united nations environapio/xpolfr17

unep[2] regional lead apio/xuneplats

unep[3] “leaded petrol phase-out: global stat as at apio/xunepppo

unep[4] ozone data aess center: ods nsuption odp tonnes data updated noveapio/xods17

unep[5] the world database on protected areas (wdpa) unep, iu, and unep-wc

unep[6] protected p report 2016 unep-wc and iu, cand, switzernd, 2016 aessed deceapio/xprotp16

un es[1] (united nations educational, scientific and cultural anization)

“education: pletion rate for priary education (hoehold survey data)” aessed noveapio/xplr

unes[2] “education: literacy rate” st apio/xuislit

unes[3] “education: out-of-school rate for children of priapio/xuiutsf

unes[4] “rate of out-of-school children” aessed noveapio/xoos

unes[5] “reducg global poverty through universal priapio/xprisecpov

unfpa (united nations popution fund) “sexual & reproductive health” st updated noveber 16, 2017

unhcr (united nations high to the stat of refues” un refue ancy, nevagapio/xunhcr

unicef-ics ultiple dicator cster surveys funded by the united nations children’s fund aessed noveber 29, 2017

unicef[1] the state of the world’s children 1995 oxford, uk: oxford university press, 1995 gapio/tchi

unicef[2] “narrog the gaps—the power of vestg the poorest children” july 2017 gapio/xunicef2

unicef[3] “diarrhoea re children, despite the avaibility of a siple treatnt tion” aessed septeber 11, 2017

gapio/xunicef3

unicef[4] “the state of the world’s children 2013—children with disabilities” 2013 gapio/x-unicef4

unicef[5] “vae procurent services”

unisdr (united nations office for disaster risk reduction) “heat wave europe 2003: new data shows italy as the apio/x-unicefc5

-cps cens bureau current popution survey, 2017 annual cial and enoic supplent table: “fc01_01 selected characteristics of failies by total oney e : 2016,” apio/xcb17

aid-dhs[1] deraphic and health surveys (dhs), funded by aid

aid-dhs[2] bietsch, krist, and charles f westoff religion and reproductive behavior sub-saharan africa dhs analytical studies no

48 rockville, apio/xdhsarel

van zanden[1] van zanden, jan iten, joerg baten, peter foldvari, and bas van leeuwen “world e eality: the changg shape of global eality 1820–2000” utrecht university, 2014

/bestanden/worldeealitypdf

van zanden[2] van zanden, jan iten, and eltjo burgh “rise of the west:-terhteenth centuries” journal of enoapio/xriwe

van zanden[3], van zanden, jan iten, et al, eds hoas life? global wellbeg sce 1820 paris: oecd publishg, 2014 gapio/x-zanoecd

orld eno the facts” wef video, 15:42 fild davos, switzernd, january 2015 lk to 5 utes 18 sends to the presentation, when hans show the audience results: ?t=518s

white[1] white, s new york: norton, 2011

white[2] white, atthew estiates of death tolls world war ii necrotrics send

who[1] (world health anization) “global health observatory data repository: iapio/xwhoi

who[2] safe abortion: technical & policy guidance for health systeapio/xabor

who[3] who ebo response tea “ebo vir disease west africa—the first 9 nd journal of apio/xeboresp

who[4] “caes of child ho) data aessed septeapio/xeboresp2

who[5] “1986–2016: chernobyl at 30” april 25, 2016 gapio/xwhoc30

who[6] “the e of ddt lobal apio/xwhoddt1

who[7] “ddt door residual sprayg: huan health aspects—environanization, 2011 gap

io/xwhoddt2

who[8] “who global health workforce statistics” world health anization, 2016 gapio/xf

who[9] situation updates—pandeapio/xwhopand

who[10] global health observatory (gho) data tuberculosis (tb)

who[11] “what is -resistant tuberculosis (apio/xdrtb

who[12] “global health expenditure database” st updated deceber 5, 2017

who[13] ebo situation reports gapio/xebowho

who[14] antiapio/xantiicres

who[15] neglected tropical diseases gaptrop

wh o[16] “evaation of the ternational drkg water supply and sanitation decade, 1981-1990” world health anization, novee 4 gapio/x90

who[17] eencies preparedness, response situation updates—pandeic (h1n1) 2009

who[18] global health observatory (gho) data tuberculosis (tb)

who/unicef “endg preventable child deaths froanization/the united nations children’s fund (unicef), 2013 gapio/xpneudiarr

who/unicef j water, sanitation and hygiene levels,” 2015

wikipedia[1] “tile of abolition of svery and serfdo”

wikipedia[2] “capital punishy”

wikipedia[3] “feature fil/wiki/feature_filhistory

wikipedia[4] “woe”

wikipedia[5] “und rerdg and reproduction: phonoautograph”

wikipedia[6] “world war ii casualties”

wikipedia[7] “list of terrorist cidents: 1970–present”

wikipedia[8] “bratox: ultiple sclerosis”

wikipedia[9] “charles waterton”

wikipedia[10] “revery position”

world bank[1] “dicator gdp per capita, ppp (nstant 2011 ternational )” ternational parin prograapio/xwb171

world bank[2] “world bank untry and lendg groups” aessed noveapio/xwb172

world bank[3] “priroup)” aessed noveapio/xwb173

world bank[4] “popution of untry e groups 2015—popution, total” aessed noveapio/xwb174

world bank[5] “poverty headunt ratio at 190 a day (2011 ppp) ( of popution)” developapio/xwb175

world bank[6] “dicator aess to electricity ( of popution)” staable energy for all (seforall) global trackg fray sector apio/xwb176

world bank[7] “life expectancy at birth, total (years)” united nations statistical division popution and vital statistics reports (vario years) aessed noveapio/xwb177

world bank[8] “iproved water urce ( of popution with aess)” who/unicef jot ra (jp) for water supply and sanitation aessed noveapio/xwb178

world bank[9] “ies 12-23 apio/xwb179

world bank[10] “prevalence of undernourishanisation aessed noveapio/xwb1710

world bank[11] “out-of-pocket health expenditure ( of total expenditure on health)” global health expenditure database, 2017 gapio/xwb1711

wo rld bank[12] narayan, deepa, raj patel, et al voices of the poor: can anyone hear ? new york: oxford university press, 2000 gapio/xwb1712

world bank[13] “ternational touris: nuber of departures” yearbook of touris statistics, pendiuanization, 2017 gapio/xwb1713

world bank[14] “beyond open data: a new challen fro”

world bank video, 1:49:01 filapio/xwb1714

world bank[15] khokhar, tariq “should we ntue to e the ter, world bank, noveapio/xwb1715

world bank[16] “e share held by highest 10” developapio/xwb1716

world bank[17] jolliffe, dean, and espen beer prydz “esti ternational poverty les froapio/xwb1717

world bank[18] “obile celr subscriptions” ternational teleunication union, world teleunication/ict developapio/xwb1718

world bank[19] “dividuals g the ter ( of popution)” ternational teleunication union, world teleunication/ict developapio/xwb1719

world bank[20] global nsuption database

world bank[21] “school enrollpi)” united nations educational, scientific, and cultural anization (unes) stitute for statistics, 2017 gapio/xwb1721

world bank[22] “global nsuapio/xwb1722

world bank[23] “physicians (per 1,000 people)” selected untries and enolobal health workforce statistics, oecd, 2017 gapio/xwb1723

world bank[24] “health expenditure, total ( of gdp)” world health anization global health expenditure database, 2017 gapio/xwb1724

world bank[26] newhoe, david, pablo suarez-becerra, and art c evans “new estiates of extre poverty for children—poverty and shared prosperity report 2016: takg on eality” policy research workg paper no 7845 world bank, washgton, dc, 2016 gapio/xwb1726

world bank[27] world bank open data ptfor

worldpop case studies—poverty gapio/xworpopcs

f tir—facts 2017 aessed noveer

yougov[1] noveov15

yougov[2] poll about fears 2014 gapov15

za karia, fareed the future of freedo: illiberal deocracy at ho and abroad new york: norton, 2003

—— the post-arican world new york: norton, 2008

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